Lumentum Holdings Valuation

LITE Stock  USD 583.46  9.35  1.63%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Lumentum Holdings secures a last-minute Real Value of $511.01 per share. The latest price of the firm is $583.46. Our model forecasts the value of Lumentum Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.12 %, current valuation of 43.16 B, and Return On Equity of 0.29 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Lumentum Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
48.4189
Enterprise Value
43.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
133.9505
Price Sales
19.4715
Forward PE
97.0874
Overvalued
Today
583.46
Please note that Lumentum Holdings' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Lumentum Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Lumentum Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Lumentum stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Lumentum Holdings. Since Lumentum Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Lumentum Stock. However, Lumentum Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  583.46 Real  511.01 Target  539.38 Hype  570.88
The real value of Lumentum Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Lumentum Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Lumentum Holdings' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Lumentum Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
504.93
Downside
511.01
Real Value
641.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Lumentum Holdings helps investors to forecast how Lumentum stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Lumentum Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Lumentum Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.471.872.00
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
564.80570.88641.81
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
490.84539.38598.71
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Lumentum Holdings' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Lumentum Holdings' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Lumentum Holdings' closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Lumentum Holdings we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Lumentum Holdings Cash

463.78 Million

Lumentum Revenue by Product

Lumentum Holdings Total Value Analysis

Lumentum Holdings is now anticipated to have valuation of 43.16 B with market capitalization of 40.99 B, debt of 2.61 B, and cash on hands of 2.55 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Lumentum Holdings fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
43.16 B
40.99 B
2.61 B
2.55 B

Lumentum Holdings Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. Lumentum Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Lumentum Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Lumentum Holdings is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities233 M145.2 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Lumentum Holdings Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Lumentum indicates not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Lumentum Holdings Profitability Analysis

Based on Lumentum Holdings' profitability indicators, Lumentum Holdings may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Lumentum Holdings' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2013-06-30
Previous Quarter
4.2 M
Current Value
78.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
83.5 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.26, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 464.1 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.260.185
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For Lumentum Holdings profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Lumentum Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Lumentum Holdings utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Lumentum Holdings's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Lumentum Holdings over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Lumentum Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Lumentum Holdings is estimated to be 1.867925 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.4725 to a high of 2.005. Lumentum Holdings' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 3.44. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Lumentum Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Lumentum Holdings is projected to generate 1.867925 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Lumentum Holdings earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Lumentum Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Lumentum Holdings' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Lumentum Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Lumentum Holdings Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Lumentum Holdings' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Lumentum Holdings is estimated to be 1.867925 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.4725 to a high of 2.005. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Lumentum Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.47
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.867925
2.00
Highest

Lumentum Holdings Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Lumentum Holdings' value are higher than the current market price of the Lumentum Holdings stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Lumentum Holdings is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Lumentum Holdings' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2184.21%
0.0
1.867925
3.44

Lumentum Holdings Ownership Allocation

The majority of Lumentum Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Lumentum Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Lumentum Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Lumentum Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Lumentum Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.65 B. Net Income was 25.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 781.4 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Lumentum Holdings' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Lumentum Holdings and how it compares across the competition.

About Lumentum Holdings Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Lumentum Holdings' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Lumentum Holdings. We calculate exposure to Lumentum Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Lumentum Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit528.9 M464.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.30)(0.28)
Operating Profit Margin(0.32)(0.30)
Net Loss(0.40)(0.38)
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.26 

Lumentum Holdings Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Lumentum Holdings does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.711
Forward Price Earnings97.0874

Lumentum Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Lumentum Holdings and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Lumentum we look at many different elements of the entity such as Lumentum's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Lumentum Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Lumentum Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Lumentum Holdings' worth.

Complementary Tools for Lumentum Stock analysis

When running Lumentum Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Lumentum Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lumentum Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Lumentum Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lumentum Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lumentum Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lumentum Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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